THE Science behind pollen pricing

How Pollen knows
what your inventory
is worth.

Every price recommendation Pollen makes is backed by PSI — a live index built on 1 billion real FMCG trade data points, tracking what brands actually recover for unsold stock across SEA and India.

Built by Pollen. Powered by Dahlia AI. Open to the industry.

Pollen SLOB Index
PSI · Q1 2025
142.6
+12.4%
vs same period last year
160 140 120 100 142.6 Q1 24 Q2 24 Q3 24 Q4 24 Q1 25
Skincare +18% Hair Care +9% Personal Care +7% F&F Channel −4%
Dahlia AI

Skincare SLOB pressure rising in MY · SG. Expect 15–20% deeper discounting in Q2.

PSI Global 68.4 ▲·Personal Care 72.1 ▲·Food & Bev 64.8 ▲·Home Care 61.2·Beauty & Cosmetics 73.5 ★·Health & Wellness 58.9 ▼·Baby & Child 66.3 ▲
1B+

Data points from real FMCG inventory trades

60+

Product attributes tracked per SKU

Millions

Of SKUs tracked across SEA and India

Daily

Index refresh — not monthly. Not quarterly.

What is SLOB?

Slow-Moving & Obsolete Stock. Every brand has it.

Stock that didn't sell — overproduced lines, old formulas, returns, near-expiry goods. Most brands lose 3–8% of revenue to it every year and have no benchmark to know if they're getting a fair price when they clear it.

PSI is the answer. It's the data engine that powers every pricing recommendation and demand signal inside Pollen — so brands aren't guessing, they're benchmarking against the real market.

Slow-Moving Stock

Products that haven't sold as fast as expected. Still good — but the clock is ticking.

Obsolete Stock

Discontinued products, old formulas, failed launches. Value drops fast — move it or write it off.

Near-Expiry Inventory

Under 6 months of shelf life. PSI tracks how much of this is in the market — by category and region.

What PSI Tracks

Three signals.
One index.

PSI monitors three dimensions of the excess inventory market continuously. So Pollen's recommendations are always grounded in what's actually happening.

Powers Dahlia AI

Buyer Demand

PSI tracks what verified B2B buyers are actively sourcing : by category, region, and format. This is what Dahlia uses to match your stock to real demand.

Skincare · SEA▲ High demand
Hair Care · MYModerate ↔
Body Care · IDRising ↑
Powers Fern AI

Recovery Pricing

PSI benchmarks what brands actually recover — by category, region, and shelf life remaining. Fern AI uses this to recommend a price, not pull one from thin air.

Skincare · 6–12mo expiry
35–45% of MSRP
Hair Care · 3–6mo expiry
20-30% of MSRP
Powers the Platform

Market Trends

PSI tracks how excess inventory pressure shifts over time — which categories are flooding, which are clearing, and where regional patterns are forming.

Discount Depth by Category & Region
Health: Critical (58.9)
Personal Care: Strong (72.1)
Food & Bev: Moderate (64.8)
data foundation

Built on real trades.
Not surveys.
Not estimates.

Every number in PSI comes from a real trade — what a brand actually accepted, what a buyer actually paid. Aggregated and anonymised, but never made up.

Real Trade Data

Every data point traces back to an actual excess-inventory transaction, not a survey response.

Anonymised & Audited

Aggregated by category, region and channel. Individual brand data is never exposed.

Daily Refresh

The index updates every 24 hours as new trades flow through the Pollen platform.

60+ Attributes Tracked

Category, expiry window, region, channel type, packaging, and more — per SKU.

Who PSI is for

Pricing and recovery teams
who need a defensible benchmark.

Commercial Teams
Category Managers

Set recovery prices with a market benchmark instead of internal guesswork.

PricingNegotiation
Supply Chain Teams
Operations Leaders

Know when to liquidate, when to hold, and what recovery rate to expect.

InventoryPlanning
Finance Teams
Finance Controllers

Defend write-downs and recovery forecasts with an external market index.

AuditForecasting

Looking to buy excess inventory in bulk? Click here!